The analysis here presents the objective reality as it is on the ground. Moreover, the top political leaders of all major parties have become notoriously anarchic. They are now the target where people wish through stones.
The state apparatus is more corrupt, more corrupt than it was during Panchayati rule. Everywhere, thugs attached to state mechanism are ready to jump to grab whatever is available. Inflation has been ever going up. People are desperately waiting for an alternative to emerge that could through away this anarchy of political thugs. In this situation, it is easy to conclude that the contradiction between the masses and the reactionary ruling elites is galloping to reach to its optimal point.
Now, there could be new courses that would take place very soon. Either the society will see regressive change or ill go for progressive change. At this moment, there are two viable forces to command such political courses. The first course, the regressive course could be led by some former Panchayati leaders or Generals or royals. Analysing the availability of such leaders and amalgamation of such forces, General Rukmangad Katawal could lead such force as he has a strong backing in the Nepal army. Former royal could contribute financial resources and former Panchas could provide political infrastructure for this course. Thus, the regressive camp could stage political come back at the cost of present day thugs. If they will snatch state power, particularly after September 2012 when a new General will take control of the Army, the political thugs will have no face to show as they would have finished themselves as credible politician after another extension of CA and people will be at boiling point; even the regressive take over will see its welcome. India and the US will provide some cover up for such take over and that would be the end of the realm of present day political thugs. This would be good news but just for a day or two. The people will lose once again and will start sufferings under a more coercive regime. On the other side, the revolutionaries, if they will seize opportunities and will go back to people, get them organized, reorganize PLA, create united front and re-launch the revolutionary tempest, it will provide new hope, new synergy and new option.
In practice, if the revolutionaries within Unified Maoist Party take decisive step, reorganize the party with or without Kiran, get united with Matrika led party and Mani group, form united front with different nationalities’ organizations and mobilize the masses, Nepali society will see the beginning of a decisive phase of Nepali revolution. But, the leaders including comrade Basanta are ready for such course? This is a million dollar question.Comrade Basanta has rightly analysed the past and has presented the present situation with some critical perspective, but what he will say for people who are at the boiling point of frustration, anger and hardship? Should they read revolutionary leaders and do nothing? Should they continue suffering under the anarchic rule of present day political thugs? Should they line up behind General Katawal? Or, they could have option made available by the progressives and revolutionaries? Please tell the people what they should do?
